FY2012 Financial Announcement meeting Q&A
We expect orders for SPE in the April to June quarter to be approximately 100 billion yen, the same level as the January to March quarter. We also expect the trends by application to be generally the same as during the January to March quarter. The memory ratio will remain in the 20% to 30% range. With respect to FPD/PV, we expect orders to be in the 5 billion yen to 10 billion yen range.
We expect orders to bottom out in the April to June quarter and then to gradually increase, with an increase of about 30% in the second half of the fiscal year. We expect to receive orders from NAND as well as logic device and foundry customers. We do not anticipate a recovery of DRAM.
Not unexpectedly, smartphones will be the key driver. New logic device compatible with LTE (a high-speed data communications standard for next-generation mobile phones) and NAND will drive investment.
The bulk of the decrease in operating income will be caused by a loss in the FPD business.
We are unable to give specific amounts, but we have reallocated some resources including personnel to new businesses such as OLED and SPE growth fields such as 3DI. We are working to create structures that can generate profits from coater/developers, for which we cannot gain an edge over our competitors in terms of technology.
As we have indicated in the past, our highest priority is providing returns to shareholders through growth. As long as technological innovation continues, we will prioritize growth investment. We are always considering M&A, both in Japan and overseas, in cases where other companies have appealing technologies that we do not have. The acquisitions of NEXX Systems. and Oerlikon Solar are a part of that strategy. We are also constantly considering shareholder returns including share buybacks and dividends. We increased fixed dividends payout ratio from 20% to 35% at the end of the fiscal year ended March 2011, and we plan to add a 20 yen commemorative dividend for the fiscal year ending March 2013 to celebrate the 50th anniversary of TEL's establishment. We plan to actively provide shareholder returns in the future when opportunities are available.
The TSV etch system has been delayed by about two years, but growth in the bonder/debonder business is ahead of schedule. We expect WLP-related sales to exceed 10 billion yen this fiscal year. When the TSV business gets up to speed in about two years, we expect sales to be 20 billion yen to 30 billion yen.
Market share is currently below 20%. We believe that NEXX Systems is ahead of the competition in terms of productivity, and as a result, we have high expectations for the future.
It will depend on the pace of regulatory approval in each country, but we expect to close the acquisition of NEXX Systems in May and of Oerlikon Solar in around June or July. It will be difficult for Oerlikon Solar to become profitable in the short term, and NEXX's contributions to profits are not high in this year, but we believe that both companies will contribute to our target operating profit margins over the medium to long term.
We believe that Oerlikon Solar's technology is the world's best because of its ability to achieve vastly lower manufacturing costs for large-scale power generation projects such as mega solar plants. By steadily carrying out the technology roadmap proposed by Oerlikon Solar, we expect to achieve grid parity in the near future, and the solar cell market will grow rapidly.